If you were anything like me last Sunday night, you were staring the bottom of your drink in the face, excited for one of the most explosive, young runners in football to take the stage in primetime. With the Cowboys’ front-four missing two of their starters, the stage couldn’t have been more perfect.
10 beers later, I had to wonder if it were the two fumbles or the booze, depicting David Wilson as a reincarnation of Rashaan Salaam circa 1995 (see ’95 fumbles total). Needless to say, Wilson’s 2013 debut was more prime-tim than primetime.
Wilson’s pathetic 7 rushes for 19 yards have pushed owners to hit the panic button more prematurely than Herb Donaldson on a goal line carry. Don’t get me wrong, anytime a top round pick puts up the same number of points as the temperature on a December day in Alaska, it’s pretty sobering. However, given the dynamic running-ability and acrobatics of the former Virginia Tech star, the odds were greater that he’d go off for 150 and 2 TDs, rather than putting it on the ground twice and riding the pine in his 2013 debut.
It’s not quite déjà vu, although Wilson also fumbled in week 1 of 2012, only to go 127 straight touches without coughing it up.
One year removed from being a 1st-round pick, let’s not forget the potential recipe for a breakout year. “D-dubs” is the cog in an offense that’s committed to establishing the run with no other serious suitors to tote the rock (if you picked up Brandon Jacobs this week, I hope you grabbed Reuben Droughns as a handcuff).
Fantasy analysts and noobs alike, we all knew coming into this year that Wilson was an unpolished, raw talent who hadn’t yet performed at a consistent level. Yet, Wilson still shot into the early rounds of drafts once Andre Brown went down with a fractured leg.
If you buy a new BMW, the second you drive it out the lot, it loses value. But, it seems some “tim”id fantasy owners don’t quite grasp the difference between paying a premium for a car and paying a premium for a player in fantasy.
If you spend a top 30 pick on a player (largely appealing because of the upside), you won’t know the value until you put some miles on it.
I live by the fantasy adage of never selling-low early in the season for a player you paid a premium for. Before you go overboard on David Wilson, remember, you could be unloading a 2014 1st-round pick in fantasy drafts.