Despite looking erratic quite often this season, Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles has quietly put up respectable numbers as a bottom-tier option for fantasy owners. He has double digit fantasy points in all but one game this season, including 16 + fantasy points in his last three contests (per standard scoring formats). With a matchup against the Browns porous defense this week, Bortles should continue his under the radar streak of productivity for fantasy owners. The Jaguars will most likely be without wide receiver Allen Hurns this weekend, while Marquise Lee is listed as questionable as he battles a lingering knee issue. Even though Lee is expected to play at less than one-hundred percent, I still love Bortles’ matchup this week. I fully expect the Browns to stack the box in efforts to slow down Leonard Fournette and the running game, which should provide Bortles more room to operate down the field. He’ll be a sneaky candidate for top-ten production in Week 11.
While it’s safe to say Jay Cutler probably should have opted for the broadcast booth in 2017, he’s been able to string together productive performances in back-to-back games. Albeit, last week’s 213 yards and two passing touchdowns came in complete garbage time, as the Panthers thumped the Dolphins 45-21 on Monday Night. While it’s looking like Cutler and the ‘Fins are a team destined for much more garbage time this season, this week they actually have a solid chance to pickup a win at home against Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs defense ranks 29th in the league against the pass as Cutler will have a prime opportunity to move the ball downfield. I like the chances that Head Coach Adam Gase tries to get Kenny Stills and Devante Parker involved in the vertical passing game with Cutler taking a couple shots downfield. While this offense has struggled immensely over the course of the season, they should be able to put together a respectful day in the passing game.
Before the season started, I wrote a column on some of the league’s top running back handcuffs in event of the starter missing time in the lineup. Tevin Coleman was an easy choice for a running back to put in that category. While Coleman has played second-fiddle to Devonta Freeman each of the past three seasons, he has proven to be one of the best backups in the league over the past two. This week, Coleman has a great chance to show the rest of the league what he’s capable of doing when presented with the chance to be an every-down back. Devonta Freeman left last week’s game after sustaining a concussion and doesn’t appear likely to suit-up for Monday Night’s tilt in Seattle, as he’s struggled to gain clearance from the league’s concussion protocol. The Seahawks boast a stout run-defense, ranking ninth against the run this season. However, after losing Richard Sherman to a torn achilles in last week’s win over game over the Cardinals, it’ll take much more of a group effort to corral Julio Jones and the Atlanta Falcons receivers this weekend. I think Coleman has a solid chance to find some running room against a Seattle defense I expect to show a various series of looks, including a bunch of sub-packages of the nickel and dime variety. With Freeman looking like he’ll be ruled out in advance of Monday Night, Coleman should be catapulted towards the top when it comes to low-risk / high-reward DFS plays.
It’s no secret the Philadelphia Eagles have looked like the best team in football throughout the first 10 weeks to this year’s season. However, it’s a scary thought to think their running game has the ability to improve over the back-half of the regular season. After acquiring Jay Ajayi from the Dolphins ahead of the tread deadline, the former Boise State standout has only suited-up for the team in their Week 9 blowout over the Broncos. Absorbing the Philly offense on a short week, Ajayi made the most of his touches, as the fourth-year pro toted the rock eight times for 77 yards and a touchdown. Coming off the Week 10 bye, Ajayi will be more acclimated and comfortable within the confines of the Eagles’ offense for this week’s divisional slate with the rival Cowboys. Ajayi is a similar-styled runner as fellow bruiser LeGarrette Blount, but is quicker into his cuts and can get downfield in a hurry for a big-bodied back. The thought all along was that he would eventually supplant Blount as the featured back, but that sentiment could come to fruition as early as this week. If last week was any indication how much the Cowboys missed their pro-bowl left tackle Tyron Smith, the Cowboys could be in trouble again in Week 11. The team gave up a total of eight sacks, six of which to Adrian Clayborn, and will be without Smith for the second consecutive week. Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense could certainly struggle with time in the pocket, thus having a difficult time to put up points. If the Eagles get out to an early lead, it could be a downfield dose of a runaway Ajayi train in the second half.
With Texans wide receiver Will Fuller expected to miss Sunday’s game against the Cardinals, the next man up will be Bruce Ellington. The former sixth-round pick has been a solid slot receiver and hauled in his first touchdown reception of the year in last week’s loss to the Rams. With shutdown corner Patrick Peterson expected to blanket DeAndre Hopkins all afternoon, look for quarterback Tom Savage to rely on Ellington to create separation if the Houston offense has any chance to move the ball with consistency. Fantasy owners should expect 7 + targets from the third-year receiver and former San Francisco 49er as Ellington will be on the flex radar for Week 11. He’s one of the deeper sleeper for this week in year-long and DFS leagues.
While the Cincinnati Bengals have struggled to maintain consistency this season, they have already been all but eliminated from playoff contention sitting at 3-6. It’s fair to wonder if Marvin Lewis will return for a 16th season as Bengals Head Coach. That said, the Cincinnati offense never materialized the way it hoped as rookie receiver John Ross has struggled to stay on the field, while Tight End Tyler Eifert was shutdown with renewed complications in his surgically repaired back. However, third-year tight end Tyler Kroft has done his best to alleviate the absence of Eifert. The Rutgers product draws a matchup with a Denver Broncos defense that has struggled to duplicate the level of play that earned them the mantra of a “No Fly Zone” stemming from their secondary’s ability to shut down opposing passing attacks. While Denver’s defensive unit still ranks towards the top of the league in defensive metrics, they are no where near as effective as they have been over the past few years. After allowing 51 points two weeks ago against the Eagles, the Broncos followed-up that performance by allowing 41 points to the Patriots on Sunday Night. With Denver’s defense primed to focus all of their attention on bottling up A.J. Green, I think Kroft could quietly put together a solid game.
San Diego Chargers
When the Buffalo Bills made the surprise announcement this week that they would start backup quarterback Nathan Peterman in place of Tyrod Taylor, fantasy owners quickly ran to the waiver wire to pickup the Chargers defense. Peterman is a rookie signal-caller out of Pittsburgh who got his feet wet in garbage time in last week’s blowout loss at the hands of the Saints. It’s anyone’s guess what kind of level he’ll play at this Sunday in Los Angeles, but the fact Buffalo’s 5-4 record has been mired by inconsistency by the offense doesn’t bode well for immediate success. The Chargers should be able to force a few turnovers and wreak havoc in the backfield when Peterman makes his first NFL start. The Chargers will be a great, cheap option in DFS for Week 11.